Strategies of the Condo Vultures®

The Related Group, the nation’s largest condo tower developer, is attempting in the next two months to finalize plans to return thousands of unsold new units with debt of “roughly $1.5 billion” to the construction lenders, according to Miami news reports.

The admission comes just as the Related Group has agreed to relinquish ownership to its lenders of the remaining 381 unsold units in the 420-unit, 20-story CityPlace South Tower in Downtown West Palm Beach. Related had still owed about $119 million, or about 88 percent, of the original $134.7 million construction loan, according to South Florida news reports.

“We’ve had very good discussions over the last seven months with all of our lender syndicates,” Related Group’s chief operating officer Matt Allen told the Miami Daily Business Review. “Each syndicate is different. They have different goals they might want to achieve, and we expect in 60 days to have complete resolution and that resolution can carry many different fronts.”

Related developed or converted dozens of highrises with several thousand units throughout Florida, ranging from the Apogee in Miami Beach’s South of Fifth neighborhood to the Trump Hollywood in Southeast Broward County, the Oasis in Fort Myers on the Gulf of Mexico to the ICON Brickell complex in Greater Downtown Miami.

In Downtown Miami alone, the Related Group built during the condo boom about 5,550 units, of which the company is still in possession of more than 2,400 units, or about 44 percent, according to the Official Condo Buyers Guide to Miami™ published by Condo Vultures®.

Specifically in Downtown Miami, Related built seven projects with 12 towers and more than 5.8 million gross livable square feet. An eight project proposed for 495 units and 389,000 gross livable square feet was shelved before construction began, according to Condo Vultures®.

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Peter Zalewski of Condo Vultures® can be reached at 800-750-0517 or by email at peter@condovultures.com. Don’t forget to sign up for our weekly Market Intelligence Report™ for detailed condo reports. Looking for a property at a deep discount? You are encouraged to take a peek at the Vultures Database™ or our Video Gallery. Our new books, the Official Condo Buyers Guide to Miami™ , Miami’s Great Condo Crash: A Chronicle of the Boom and Bust™ , and First-Time Home Buyers Guide To South Florida™ are now available. Want to see every foreclosure filed in South Florida since 2007? Check out our Foreclosure Database™.

Copyright © 2009, Condo Vultures® LLC

The pace of new condo closings in Greater Downtown Miami slowed by half in the second quarter of 2009 to 2.7 sales per day, down from an average of 5.2 per deals day in the first quarter of the year, according to a new report from Condo Vultures® LLC.

Buyers purchased 246 units in the 60-block stretch of Greater Downtown Miami between April and June. In the two previous quarters, buyers closed on 466 new Downtown Miami units between January and March, and 441 units between October and December, respectively, according to the Condo Vultures® report based on the Official Condo Buyers Guide To Miami™.
“A majority of the second quarter closings occurred in three projects: Marina Blue, 1060 Brickell, and the south tower of Brickell on the River,” said Peter Zalewski, a principal with the Bal Harbour, Fla.-based real estate consultancy Condo Vultures®. “Price reductions were the common denominator triggering the increased closing activity in all three condo projects. With financing difficult to obtain in Downtown Miami, all-cash buyers are proving that they are ready to purchase if the price is right.”

With the increased activity, Marina Blue - where a bulk deal occurred in December 2008 - is now 99.4 percent closed with only a handful of units of the 516-unit project still in the name of the developer.

The south tower of Brickell on the River is now 70.3 percent closed with less than 100 units in the 327-unit tower available.

At the 1060 Brickell condominium, the developer has closed nearly 350 units - 31 units of which closed in a bulk deal in June - out of 576 units for a sellout rate of 59 percent, according to the Condo Vultures® report.

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Peter Zalewski of Condo Vultures® can be reached at 800-750-0517 or by email at peter@condovultures.com. Don’t forget to sign up for our weekly Market Intelligence Report™ for detailed condo reports. Looking for a property at a deep discount? You are encouraged to take a peek at the Vultures Database™ or our Video Gallery. Our new books, the Official Condo Buyers Guide to Miami™ , Miami’s Great Condo Crash: A Chronicle of the Boom and Bust™ , and First-Time Home Buyers Guide To South Florida™ are now available. Want to see every foreclosure filed in South Florida since 2007? Check out our Foreclosure Database™.

Copyright © 2009, Condo Vultures® LLC

Nearly 900 residences in the Vultures Database™ have closed in the first five months of 2009 at an average discount of $357,500, or nearly 54 percent, a dramatic change from the average price reductions of 44 percent in 2008 and 29 percent in 2007, according to a new report from Condo Vultures® LLC.

Buyers closed 232 single-family houses, condos, and townhouses in the tri-county South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties in May for a daily average of 7.5 transactions. In April, buyers closed an average of 7.0 properties per day. The running average in the first five months of 2009 is 5.9 closings per day on properties in the Vultures Database™, according to the report.

“Discount investors and first-time home buyers are having a noticeable impact on the coastal residential real estate market in South Florida,” said Peter Zalewski, a principal with the Bal Harbour, Fla.-based real estate consultancy Condo Vultures®. “Half of the transactions involving properties in the Vultures Database™ have closed in the last two months. We anticipate the pace will continue at the same level, if not stronger, throughout the summer if conditions remains the same.”

In its third year of monitoring South Florida discounts, the Vultures Database™ is comprised of nearly 3,800 condos, townhouses, and single-family houses actively for sale east of Interstate 95 in Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties that have been reduced in price by at least 10 percent and/or $100,000.

Discounts are proving to be the single-most important factor in determining whether a property is sold or not. With conventional financing difficult to obtain, the majority of today’s buyers are selectively purchasing with cash or the assistance of government-backed programs, such as the Obama $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers.

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Peter Zalewski of Condo Vultures® can be reached at 800-750-0517 or by email at peter@condovultures.com. Don’t forget to sign up for our weekly Market Intelligence Report™ for detailed condo reports. Looking for a property at a deep discount? You are encouraged to take a peek at the Vultures Database™ or our Video Gallery. Our new books, the Official Condo Buyers Guide to Miami™ , Miami’s Great Condo Crash: A Chronicle of the Boom and Bust™ , and First-Time Home Buyers Guide To South Florida™ are now available. Want to see every foreclosure filed in South Florida since 2007? Check out our Foreclosure Database™.

Copyright © 2009, Condo Vultures® LLC

Resale residential inventory in the Greater Fort Lauderdale area is shrinking at a faster rate than is the case for the South Florida region, according to a new report from Condo Vultures® LLC.

Resale inventory in Broward County, where Fort Lauderdale, Hollywood, and Pompano Beach are located, is down 30 percent to nearly 26,000 single-family houses, condos, and townhouses in the last seven months dating back to Thanksgiving week.

By comparison, South Florida inventory is down 25 percent for the tri-county region. Resale inventory has fallen by 26 percent in Miami-Dade County, where Miami Beach, Coral Gables, and Aventura are located, and by 19 percent in Palm Beach County, where Boca Raton, Delray Beach, and West Palm Beach are located, according to the report created using Florida Association of Realtors data.

“Broward County is South Florida’s middle ground in terms of location and price point between expensive Miami and more reasonably priced West Palm Beach,” said Peter Zalewski, a principal with the Bal Harbour, Fla.-based real estate consultancy Condo Vultures®. “It is not uncommon for dual-income families to have one person working in the Miami area and the other in Broward and/or Palm Beach. In these situations, Broward is often times the place where the families ultimately decide to buy given the lower price compared to Miami.”

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Peter Zalewski of Condo Vultures® can be reached at 800-750-0517 or by email at peter@condovultures.com. Don’t forget to sign up for our weekly Market Intelligence Report™ for detailed condo reports. Looking for a property at a deep discount? You are encouraged to take a peek at the Vultures Database™ or our Video Gallery. Our new books, the Official Condo Buyers Guide to Miami™ , Miami’s Great Condo Crash: A Chronicle of the Boom and Bust™ , and First-Time Home Buyers Guide To South Florida™ are now available. Want to see every foreclosure filed in South Florida since 2007? Check out our Foreclosure Database™.

Copyright © 2009, Condo Vultures® LLC

BY WILLIAM BETANCOURT

There were a total of 83,445 residences listed for sale in South Florida as of June 12th, 2009. Of that, 25,814, or 31 percent are in some stage of the short sale process, according to a new report based on the Condo Vultures® Foreclosure Database™.

“The month of May proved to be busy at the courthouse recording office accounting for 1,899 new Lis Pendens filings in Miami-Dade County, 4,442 filings in Broward County, and 2,661 filings in Palm Beach counties, respectively,” said William Betancourt, a licensed Florida real estate agent and short sale specialist with Condo Vultures® Realty LLC. “The real story is the 2,866 filings in Miami-Dade, 4,223 filings in Broward, and 2,029 filings in Palm Beach in the previous month of April and what June has in store ending the second quarter with more distressed inventory. The spike isn’t likely to continue to rise.

“However, we will still see a continuing stream of filings throughout the remaining two quarters.”

Over the past two months, 18,120 new properties are in pre-foreclosure in the three counties. Broward County accounts for 47.8 percent of the new filings, with Dade at 26.3 percent and Palm Beach County with the remaining 25.9 percent, according to the Condo Vultures® Foreclosure Database™, which tracks the filing of Lis Pendens notices through court records since January 1st, 2007.

To date, the database contains more than 158,000 filings.

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BY JIM FREER
Special Correspondent
CondoVultures.com

It’s not just bankers who will determine when the residential and commercial real estate markets will begin a rebound in Florida and around the country.

Bank regulators always have major influence on banks’ overall strategies, and they have been taking actions that likely will result in many banks remaining cautious on lending for the remainder of this year.

As part of a stepped-up review process they began approximately two years ago, federal and state banking regulators are telling many banks to keep adding to their reserves to cover potential loan losses, experts tell CondoVultures.com.

Those additions to reserves are taken from a bank’s quarterly earnings, or from capital during quarters when there are no profits.

That review of loan quality is part of what some bankers say is regulators being figuratively “in banks” that are having earnings problems. In some cases, they are instructing banks on lending strategies but not necessarily on making individual loans.

Regulators also are telling some banks to raise capital or reduce assets, to improve their capital-to-asset ratios.

For many banks that means making fewer loans and reducing asset size as other loans are paid off.

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BY ERIK BOJNANSKY
Special Correspondent
CondoVultures.com

Eight months ago, hardly anyone knew or cared about Chinese drywall. And eight months later, the full impact of this imported building material that has been blamed for metal corrosion, electrical mishaps and health problems is still unknown, according to CondoVultures.com.

Most agree, however, that Chinese drywall will have a huge negative impact on South Florida’s already troubled real estate market and any home built with significant amounts of it may be worthless.

“It’s a huge problem,” said Randall Jimenez, owner of Under Pressure Home Services, a Fort Lauderdale company that cleans up and manages foreclosed homes for banks. “No one has real answers to this problem and no one wants to say anything yet.”

The true number of homes constructed with Chinese drywall remains uncertain but estimates suggest that between 35,000 and 100,000 homes and commercial properties across the United States, Canada and the Bahamas were made from this material.

The adverse affects of Chinese drywall was first discovered in homes located within the Sunshine State in January 2009.

Colson Hicks Eidson attorney Elvin Gonzalez, who has been representing hundreds of clients with drywall problems, suspects there may be 35,000 homes infected in Florida alone with large pockets in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties.

“Broward is very, very hard hit,” Gonzalez said.

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South Florida residential real estate inventory dropped by 1.1 percent in the last week, dragging the total number of resales available down to 81,159 properties, according to a new report from Condo Vultures® LLC.

Residential resale inventory slipped by 888 properties between June 15 and June 22 for an average decreased of 127 properties per day. On June 1, there were 83,491 residential resales on the market in the tri-county region of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties, according to the report compiled using data from the Florida Association of Realtors.

“The single-family house inventory is shrinking at a faster pace than the condo and townhouse market,” said Peter Zalewski, a principal with Bal Harbour, Fla.-based real estate consultancy Condo Vultures®. “Condo and townhouses now represent about 61 percent of the total South Florida inventory. Back in November, condos and townhouses represented 57 percent of the overall residential inventory in South Florida.”

On a county-by-county basis, Broward has the fewest number of single-family houses available for resale with 10,179 properties, or 32 percent of the total South Florida inventory of 32,125.

Miami-Dade and Palm Beach are in a tie in percentage terms with each accounting for 34 percent of the remaining single-family house inventory. Palm Beach, with a population of about 1.1 million, has 10,888 houses for sale compared to 11,058 houses on the resale market in Miami-Dade, with a population of 2.5 million, according to the Condo Vultures® report.

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Peter Zalewski of Condo Vultures® can be reached at 800-750-0517 or by email at peter@condovultures.com. Don’t forget to sign up for our weekly Market Intelligence Report™ for detailed condo reports. Looking for a property at a deep discount? You are encouraged to take a peek at the Vultures Database™ or our Video Gallery. Our new books, the Official Condo Buyers Guide to Miami™ , Miami’s Great Condo Crash: A Chronicle of the Boom and Bust™ , and First-Time Home Buyers Guide To South Florida™ are now available. Want to see every foreclosure filed in South Florida since 2007? Check out our Foreclosure Database™.

Copyright © 2009, Condo Vultures® LLC

A Miami entity headed by Carlos Mattos paid $203 per square foot for 31 units at the 1060 Brickell condominium in Miami’s financial district, according to Condo Vultures® LLC.

Mattos’ newly created 1060 Brickell Apartments LLC paid nearly $6.1 million without financing for four studio units, 22 one-bedroom units, and five two-bedroom units with a combined 29,913 square feet of livable space, according to Condo Vultures® LLC.

“We have reason to believe that 1060 Brickell has about 200 units under contract and/or closing as we speak,” said Peter Zalewski, a principal with the Bal Harbour, Fla.-based real estate consultancy Condo Vultures®. “In the last week, 1060 has closed 58 units including the 31 from this bulk deal. It will be interesting to see what our second quarter closing rate report for new condos in Greater Downtown Miami will show.”

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Peter Zalewski of Condo Vultures® can be reached at 800-750-0517 or by email at peter@condovultures.com. Don’t forget to sign up for our weekly Market Intelligence Report™ for detailed condo reports. Looking for a property at a deep discount? You are encouraged to take a peek at the Vultures Database™ or our Video Gallery. Our new books, the Official Condo Buyers Guide to Miami™ , Miami’s Great Condo Crash: A Chronicle of the Boom and Bust™ , and First-Time Home Buyers Guide To South Florida™ are now available. Want to see every foreclosure filed in South Florida since 2007? Check out our Foreclosure Database™.

Copyright © 2009, Condo Vultures® LLC

The South Florida residential real estate market is at bottom and likely to experience some appreciation within a year, the National Association of Realtors Chief Economist Dr. Lawrence Yun said.

“I think the prices have already pretty much bottomed in the South Florida market,” Yun said. “The rest of the country is more difficult to say but I think here, given the buyers, the prices have already bottomed in Florida.”

Yun made the declaration (Watch The Video) on June 11 during a keynote address to a lunch crowd of the International Real Estate Congress and Expo. The event was hosted by the Realtors Association of Greater Miami and the Beaches at the Biltmore Hotel in Coral Gables.

Yun’s keynote address preceded a panel discussion on the South Florida real estate market with Peter Zalewski, founder of Condo Vultures® LLC; Rei Mesa of Prudential Florida Realty; Oliver Ruiz of Fortune International Realty; and Ron Shuffield of EWM.

Given the growing number of residential deals occurring in South Florida despite no readily available financing, Yun projects that today’s buyers could actually realize some home price appreciation as soon as next year when credit is expected to be available once again.

“Soon you will reach the point of equilibrium where home prices begin to show growth,” Yun said. “It is always difficult to precisely predict. I think that many people who are buying today in this month - June of 2009 - if they look back a year from now in June 2010, I think many people will see that they have actually gained in equity.”

Yun cautioned that the South Florida market conditions - a diverse community with limited developable land, attractive weather, and an international appeal - give the region an advantage over many other areas in the United States.

“There will be some premium attached to Miami, in relation to say Atlanta, Birmingham, and others,” Yun said. “So the price point in Miami will be much stronger when compared to other, say, southern states across the country or even say the rest of America. For that reason, I am very hopeful that currently it is an undervalued market.

“Buyers are recognizing [that]. Sales up about 100 percent from one year before.”

Yun’s comments come a month after national real estate analyst Jack McCabe of McCabe Research & Consulting in Deerfield Beach, Fla., told CondoVultures.com that he thinks South Florida residential prices are within 15 percent of the bottom.

McCabe, who began warning of a Florida housing bust in 2005, projects the South Florida residential real estate bottom will be reached by the summer of 2010.

“I think the worst is behind us, but I still believe we have another 10 to 15 percent drop because of the unemployment and the foreclosures depressing prices, and the amount of inventory we have yet to absorb,” McCabe told CondoVultures.com.

Peter Zalewski of Condo Vultures® can be reached at 800-750-0517 or by email at peter@condovultures.com. Don’t forget to sign up for our weekly Market Intelligence Report™ for detailed condo reports. Looking for a property at a deep discount? You are encouraged to take a peek at the Vultures Database™ or our Video Gallery. Our new books, the Official Condo Buyers Guide to Miami™ , Miami’s Great Condo Crash: A Chronicle of the Boom and Bust™ , and First-Time Home Buyers Guide To South Florida™ are now available. Want to see every foreclosure filed in South Florida since 2007? Check out our Foreclosure Database™.

Copyright © 2009, Condo Vultures® LLC